Our next guest is Paul Goodwin, Emeritus Professor at the University of Bath, United Kingdom.
Paul is a fantastic speaker, well-known for his research in judgemental forecasting, and author of numerous books. This conversation developed into several exciting tracks. We discussed uncertainty and human perception, a combination of statistical models (especially in spreadsheets) and judgments, and their use in the current forecasting software.
Paul recommends Principles of Business Forecasting by Keith Ord, Robert Fildes and Nikolaos Kourentzes.