Forecasting Impact
Forecasting Impact is a monthly podcast that aims to disseminate the science and practice of forecasting alongside prominent academics and practitioners in the field. Our vision is to grow the forecasting community, foster collaboration between academia and industry, and promote scientific forecasting and good practice. We’ll discuss a variety of topics in economics, supply chain, energy, AI, data analytics, healthcare, and more.
Podcast Team: Dr. Mahdi Abolghasemi, Dr. Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi, Michał Chojnowski, Dr Laila Akhlaghi, George Boretos, Mariana Menchero, Dr. Faranak Golestaneh, Arian Sultan Khan.
Future guests: if you have something interesting on forecasting to share with our audiences, please send an email to forecastingimpact@gmail.com
Forecasting Impact
Jennifer Castle
Jennifer Castle is an Economics Fellow at Magdalen College, Oxford University and a research fellow at Climate Econometrics, Oxford University.
Jennifer talks about economic forecasting models and the role of structural breaks (e.g., Covid pandemic) in forecasting. We also discuss climate change and how it can be forecasted using econometric tools and scenario analysis.
Jennifer recommends two books Fortune Tellers by Walter Friedman and The Undercover Economist by Tim Harford, and one paper-book chapter, 'Towards a Theory of Economic Forecasting', In Hargreaves, C. (Ed.) (1994), Non-stationary Time-series Analysis and Cointegration, with M.P. Clements.